What are the chances that another pilot could duplicate The story of Miracle on the Hudson. This is the first & only time this technique?
Worked when a plane has to land in a body of water.
US Airways Flight 1549 on 1/15/09 was struck a flock of geese & lost all engine power. Unable to reach any airport, the pilots glided the plane to a ditching in the Hudson River. All 155 people aboard survived & there were few serious injuries.
All other circumstances remaining the same, lots of professional pilots could do the same thing.
Sully lives in Lafayette CA just 15 minutes from where I live. So he's a local hero around here.
Here's some things about the so-called "miracle" you might not know. Sully was a certified glider pilot. So of all the commercial pilots out there, he was probably the most qualified to dead-stick that airplane.
On the down side. The FAA has conducted numerous simulations of that plane and its situation. They found that had Sully tried, he could have glided back to the air field and landed safely.
Out of defense for Sully and as a retired Naval Aviator myself, we do what we think is best on the spur of a moment during rapidly developing emergencies. And Monday Morning quarterbacking is only a luxury we can afford if we live to Monday. Sully and his cargo lived to Monday, and that was a good thing.
Very slim, but that is not because few pilots are properly trained, but because the accident occurred in a place that gave the right possibilities.
1- it was winter. There are less turbulences when the air is cold
2- a large body of water was nearby. Moreover, because the Hudson is a comparatively narrow surface, it was devoid of the cresting waves that would have been found in the sea
On top if it, there's the altitude the plane was when it hit the birds. Higher, and it might have glided further to another airport. Lower and it might have been close enough to the starting airport to return to it.
A better question could be "what are the chances that similar set of conditions would occur again", and the answer is that it essentially zero. So we will never know--doing it in simulator does not count because the plots would know about it already.
<What are the chances that another pilot could duplicate The story of "Miracle on the Hudson"?> 100%, because it's been done. Sully wasn't even the first.
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<This is the first & only time this technique worked when a plane has to land in a body of water> No it's not--far from it. Right off the top of my head I can think of Pan Am Flight 6, a Boeing 377 Stratocruiser which ditched in the ocean off of Hawaii in 1956 with zero fatalities, and a Tupolev Tu-124 airliner was crash-landed in a river (the Volga, I think) in 1963 with no fatalities. Not to mention the vast number of military planes that ditched in WW2. Sully just had less time to think about it.
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The only "Miracle" on the Hudson was that they were inside a major population center where there were plenty of boats available to come and take off passengers before the airplane sank. HUNDREDS of airplanes, all around the world have "ditched" in water landings over the years, and survived the landing. The PROBLEM is that many times, the landing is in the middle of the ocean and there's no one to come rescue the crew and passengers.
A good prior example is Garuda Indonesia Flight 421, which did a river landing after losing both engines in a storm.
It was subject of the National Geographic Channel Mayday: Air Disasters episode "River Runway"
The real question is WHY SHOULD IT OCCUR AGAIN? I would have thought they could Screen over the engines so the birds would not get inside and FOWL UP THE ENGINES. But birds are just a problem near airports so low to the ground, so maybe it is not worth it.
. This type of landing has happened on many prop planes since the very first days of planes. There was Orville and Wilbur Wright (and crazy cousin Larry who dumped it into Duck Lake) They don't talk about him… He is the black sheep who liked fishing more than flying. "Tru too"
Agree with other posts that lots of qualified pilots could have duplicated "sully's", "miracle". But consider for a moment the plight of Captain Robert Pearson and Co-Pilot Maurice Quintal who in 1983 managed to land a B-767 glider on an abandoned military runway in the middle of thousands of square miles of Canadian Forest?
Would Capt. Sullenberger have been just as successful if the water he landed on was only 5 thousand feet long and 12 miles away and surrounded by thick forest?
Maybe, maybe not.
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