My mom is going on a 2-hour flight from Zamboanga to Manila on a Philippine Airline A-320?
What is the probability of the aircraft crashing along with its 200 passengers?
Statistically, almost nil.
Less than the chances that she'll be killed in a car wreck on the way to the airport.
.
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I have flown on Philippine Airlines from Manila to Bacolod City. Smooth flight both ways PAL is a reputable professional airline7
The trip to the airport is more dangerous.
5%
Depends on how accurately you the set the timer on the explosive device.
Since 1997 the number off fatal air accidents has been no more than 1 for every 2,000,000,000 person-miles flown (e.g., 100 people flying a plane for 1,000 miles km) counts as 100,000 person-miles.
The chances of your mom having a problem on a 400 to 500 mile flight are virtually nil.
50/50 either it crashs or it doesn't.
Despite big-budget Hollywood films' depictions of plane crashes, flying is actually the safest mode of transportation. In fact, the odds of a plane crash are one for every 1.2 million flights, with odds of dying one in 11 million. Your chances of dying in a car or traffic accident are one in 5,000.
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